GOLD OUT LOOK 2011-12
Gold has nothing much positive going for it. US not seeing even  contraction activity forget about recession. ISM manufacturing Index for  August came at 50.6 much much better than expectation of contraction  activity. August suppose to be the worst performing month for US due to  US debt downgrade but no much impact.
Also, look at the production  level of Gold, the supply for Gold is quite strong & outpaces demand  in fact, this is due to much better prices manufacturers are getting at  this level.
Libya crisis is done.
Look at Platinum supposed to be  costliest precious metal now almost close to gold prices. platinum used  to be almost 3 times costlier than Gold. So see Gold coming down to  below USD 1100 an ounce in some years.
After yesterdays data ..today job claims data will be a key factor and pull trigger..
WE  EXPECT GOLD TO TEST $850 - $950 within 2014 ...IF TAKES SUPPORT THERE  ..ALONG WITH THAT ECONOMIC CONDITION SUPPORTS GOLD PRICE @ THOSE  LEVELS..THEN WE SHALL BE HEADING TOWARDS $4000 IN LONG RUN... IN THE  NEAR TERM THOUGH GOLD IS TARGETING $2350..THAT WILL BE INTACT ONLY IF  GOLD PRICES CORRECT TILL 1670 OR 1630 LEVELS..IF IT MOVES HIGHER FROM  CURRENT LEVELS 1800 WITHOUT CORRECTING.. THEN THE UPSIDE WILL BE SHORT  LIVED & GOLD WILL TAKE A TURN TOWARDS SOUTHWARD DIRECTION FROM  1990$/$2042
IN THE NEXT TRADING WEEK IF SILVER TESTS 45.06 AND  GOLD IS TRADING @ 1903 TO 1916 LEVELS THEN TRADERS SHOULD BE VERY  CAUTIOUS WITH THEIR LONG POSITIONS AS GOLD PRICES ARE LIKELY TO CORRECT  FROM 1916(VERY CRUCIAL LEVEL) 
AS  SAID EARLIER GOLD IF BREAKS 1856 THEN UPSIDE TGT 1882 AND ABOVE 1886  ITS ALL SET FOR A NEW HIGH 1916 (VERY CRUCIAL LEVEL) TAKEN OUT  THEN1990/2042(POSITIONAL BASIS)
GOLD IS TRADING IN A  VERY TIGHT RANGE AND ABOVE 1800$ DUE TO SENTIMENTS,,IF AT ALL GOLD  BREAKS OUT 1882-1886 BEFORE FILLING THE GAP @ 1670 THEN UPSIDE IS SHORT  LIVED AND ONCE AGAIN IT TURNS NEGATIVE FROM  1916/1990/2042$..1670/1630/1580 IS ACHIEVED BEFORE MAKING A N EW HIGH  THEN NOTHING CAN STOP GOLD TILL 2350$
                                             WWW.ADVISORYBAZAAR.COM
                                                             07275311503
 
 
No comments:
Post a Comment